C&W PICOR Q3 Report: 3 out of 4 Tucson Commercial Sectors Show Improvement

picor logoCushman & Wakefield | Picor of Tucson have released third quarter reports. Most of the commercial sectors are showing slow but steady growth, with 3 out of 4 trending positive.

Economic Overview: Arizona job growth outpaced the national rate as the state continued to recover. Statewide improvement in job gains will have a positive effect on all Arizona markets. Forbes magazine and Moody’s Analytics, projects Arizona with a 3% job growth over the next five years with annual economic growth of 4.6%. That puts Arizona just ahead of Texas in the job rankings and No. 1 nationally for projected job and economic growth. The housing recovery statewide positively impacted construction jobs in both Phoenix and Tucson, with the volume of building permits strengthening. Conventional lending is recovering, and inventory remained below the balance point at 3.5 months, while finished lot supply is scarce.

Tucson Retail Update: The positive market trend continued for a sixth consecutive quarter, with another 206,176 square-feet of absorption bringing the year’s total to nearly 500,000 square-feet. With junior anchor space in limited supply, competition for these locations was a driver for activity… Read more in the Q3 Retail MarketBeat >>

Tucson Multifamily Update: Operating fundamentals continued to slowly improve in Tucson with modest decreases in vacancy, positive net absorption, a small increase in rental rates and some continued decline in rental concessions… Read more in the Q3 Multifamily MarketBeat >>

Tucson Industrial Update: Occupancy gains of 213,087 square-feet marked the fourth consecutive quarter of positive absorption. Improved demand decreased the vacancy 0.6% to 10.8%, a level not achieved since Q2 ‘09… Read more in the Q3 Industrial MarketBeat >>

Tucson Office Update: Marketwide vacancy slipped slightly to 12.3% from the second quarter to third and remained stubbornly in the same range for three full years. The East and Northwest submarkets suffered the highest vacancy… Read more in the Q3 Office MarketBeat >>




Real Estate Daily News Buzz – October 31, 2013

Reserve & White house Real Estate Daily NewsReal Estate Daily News Buzz  is designed to give news snippets to readers that our (yet to be award winning) editors thought you could use to start your day. They come from various business perspectives, real estate, government, the Fed, local news, and the stock markets to save you time. Here you will find the headlines and what the news buzz for the day will be.

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX INCREASED – SEPTEMBER 2013

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2% in September on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  The energy index rose 0.8% in September and accounted for about half of the seasonally adjusted all items increase. All the major energy component indexes rose in September. The food index was unchanged, with declines in the indexes for fruits and vegetables and for nonalcoholic beverages offsetting increases in other indexes. The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.1% in September, the same increase as in August. The shelter and medical care indexes also advanced and accounted for most of this increase. The indexes for new vehicles and for airline fares rose as well, while the apparel and recreation indexes declined. Over the past 12 months, the all items index increased 1.2%.; this was the smallest 12-month increase since April. The index for all items less food and energy has risen 1.7% over the last year with the shelter and medical care indexes both up 2.4%. The food index has risen 1.4%, while the energy index has declined 3.1%.

BRIXMOR GAINS AFTER IPO RAISES $825 MILLION

Brixmor Property Group, Inc (NYSE: BRX), the second-largest U.S. shopping-center landlord, climbed 2% in its trading debut after raising $825 million in an increased initial public offering. Brixmor closed at $20.40 after selling 41.25 million shares yesterday for $20 each, the midpoint of its proposed range of $19 to $21. The property company increased the size of the sale from 37.5 million shares. The proceeds will be used to repay debt, according to a regulatory filing by the New York-based real estate investment trust. Brixmor has 521 shopping centers, which span the country from California to Maine. Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo Securities and Barclays are among the lead underwriters for the IPO.

NSA SPYING ON SEARCH ENGINES

WASHINGTON – The National Security Agency has secretly broken into the main communications links that connect Yahoo and Google data centres around the world, The Washington Post reported Wednesday, citing documents obtained from former NSA contractor Edward Snowden. A secret accounting dated Jan. 9, 2013, indicates that NSA sends millions of records every day from Yahoo and Google internal networks to data warehouses at the agency’s Fort Meade, MD headquarters. In the last 30 days, field collectors had processed and sent back more than 180 million new records — ranging from “metadata,” which would indicate who sent or received emails and when, to content such as text, audio and video, the Post reported Wednesday on its website. The latest revelations were met with outrage from Google, and triggered legal questions, including whether the NSA may be violating federal wiretap laws.

TARGET STORES TO RECONDITION CANADIAN SHOPPERS

TORONTO – Executives at Target Corp. say they will spend next year trying to reshape the habits of Canadian shoppers who have soured to the company’s rollout north of the border. The head of the Minneapolis, Minn.-based retailer told analysts on Wednesday that Target stores in Canada will play a key role in its growth over the next five years, conceding that not everything has gone according to plan. “While initial sales in Canada have fallen well short of expectations, we remain very confident in the long-term potential of these assets,” chief executive Gregg Steinhafel said at an investor event in Toronto.

US DEFICIT FALLS TO $680.3B, FIRST TIME IN 5 YEASR IMBALANCE FALLS BELOW $1 TRILLION

WASHINGTON – Due to the controversial sequestration, for the first time in five years, the U.S. government has run a budget deficit below $1 trillion. The government says the deficit for the 2013 budget year totaled a mere $680.3 billion, down from $1.09 trillion in 2012. Revenue jumped 13.3% to $2.77 trillion, reflecting a slightly better economy and higher tax rates. And government spending declined 2.4% to $3.45 trillion, because of the across-the-board spending cuts that took effect in March. That’s the smallest imbalance since 2008, when the government ran a $458.6 billion deficit.

PIMA COUNTY SHUTS DOWN WEB PAGE DISPLAYING WRONG POLLING LOCATIONS AFTER VAIL RESIDENT COMPLAINS

The Pima County Elections Department will take down a web page that displayed the wrong polling places for upcoming election, which will determine whether the community of Vail will become an incorporated town. Pima County consolidated the number of polling locations since the November 2012 election but failed to update their website, according to Pima County Elections Director Brad Nelson. Nelson said a recent mailing to thousands of voters, including more than 7,000 eligible voters in Vail, contains the correct polling information.

Thursday is still the deadline for mailing ballots.

HAPPY HALLOWEEN!

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CBRE Industrial Report Reminds Us: “It’s the demand, not the supply”

rosemont trucksIt’s the demand, not the supply, stupid! That’s what a former Clinton and Obama administration official, Larry Summers, said was behind the economy’s four years of weak growth. This quote comes to mind while reading the CBRE Industrial Report from CBRE’s Global Research and Consulting Group for 3Q in Tucson.

For this reason there is almost no speculative industrial development. Slowly and steadily, the inventory of functional industrial building in Tucson has been decreasing, and seeing positive absorption over the past seven consecutive quarters. It seems for some users with specific needs, it is too late to lease but still too early to build. Despite the existence of several large blocks of distribution space being available, the demand for the larger warehouse and distribution buildings is still weak.

Positive Absorption Yet Again

CBRE reports the Tucson Industrial market finished Q3 with a vacancy of 11.5% for buildings over 10,000 square-feet, excluding governmentally owned and operated facilities, totaling 34,674.685-square-feet. The vacancy rate is trending down for the eighth consecutive quarter. In 3Q 2012 there was a 12.4% vacancy rate, showing a decrease of nearly one percent year-over-year for industrial vacancy.

Year-to-date, CBRE reports Tucson had a reported 328,383-square-feet of positive net absorption. Third quarter accounted for 53,383-square-feet (16%) of that and looking forward to more positive absorption in fourth quarter 2013. Warehouse and distribution accounted for 14,221-square-feet (26.6% quarterly) of positive absorption; and R&D and Flex ended third quarter with 22,942-square-feet (43% quarterly) of positive absorption. This is the seventh consecutive quarter of positive absorption for the sector, with only two submarkets reported negative absorption, Northeast and Southeast.

The absorption is coming from aviation, mining, call centers and local infrastructure projects primarily, all major factors in the stimulation of the local economy. Although job growth is slow, these business sectors are steering things in the right direction.

CBRE reports two industrial properties under construction in the third quarter. The largest is a build to suit located at Oracle Road and Tangerine Road in Oro Valley. This is the 55,000-square-foot Securaplane plane to be delivered December 2013. Click here for full story reported June 4, 2013.

A 7,447 square-foot class B warehouse building for Blue Bell Ice Cream at 9398 E Old Vail Road was delivered in September. Click here for full story.

Notwithstanding positive absorption and lower vacancy rates, rental rates have also dropped. The third quarter reported average asking rate was $0.47 per square foot per month for metro Tucson area. This is $0.06 lower than second quarter 2013 and $.08 lower than 3Q 2012. Rental rates may start to see an increase however, as the vacancy rates continue a downward trend.

3Q Top Industrial Lease Transactions:

116.840 SF

Global Solar Energy

8500 S Rita Road, Tucson

Click here for full story

42,549 SF

TMI Acquisition

1625 S Euclid Ave, Tucson

Click here for full story

23,552 SF

Cintas Corporation

4755 S Coach Dr., Tucson

21,195 SF

Goodwill Industries

3105 E 36th Street, Tucson

Click here for full story

19,749 SF

Hensley Beverage Co.

1085 W Grant Rd, Tucson

Click here for full story

To read CBRE’s full 3Q Industrial report and other 3Q Reports from CBRE in Phoenix and Tucson click here.