Tucson’s Affordability Edge Is Narrowing as National Attention Grows, REALTORS® Group Says

Affordability Edge

TUCSON, AZ (March 24, 2026) —Tucson’s long-held reputation as a “hidden gem” is giving way to something larger: a city increasingly recognized on the national stage, but also confronting the pressures that come with rapid growth, including the challenge of preserving its affordability edge.

That was the message from Tucson Association of REALTORS® CEO Romeo Arrieta in advance of the group’s upcoming Power of Real Estate Summit, set for March 27, where business and civic leaders are expected to discuss how housing, infrastructure, and economic development must work together to sustain Southern Arizona’s momentum.

Arrieta, who has worked in major economic centers including Dallas, Austin, and the San Francisco Bay Area, said Tucson’s relative affordability has long given the region a competitive edge. But he warned that the advantage is becoming harder to preserve as home prices rise and national interest in the market intensifies.

“In 2025, while Marin County saw median home prices hit a staggering $1.4 million, Tucson hovered around $350,000,” Arrieta said. “That affordability has been our competitive advantage. But that window of opportunity is closing.”

He argued that housing should be viewed not simply as a residential issue but as a form of critical infrastructure directly tied to economic growth and employer recruitment. If companies cannot be confident their workforce can find attainable housing, he said, they may choose to expand elsewhere.

Arrieta also pointed to the broader economic weight of real estate in Arizona, noting that in 2025 the sector accounted for $121.1 billion, or 23.2 percent of the state’s gross product. In that context, housing supply, pricing, and development capacity are no longer side issues, but core elements of regional competitiveness.

The March 27 summit is being positioned as a cross-sector conversation aimed at building what organizers describe as a more unified regional playbook. Topics will include housing inventory, pricing pressures, airport and downtown development, and the ripple effects those projects may have across the broader business community.

Participants are expected to include representatives from the Tucson Airport Authority, Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry, Visit Tucson, and Rio Nuevo, along with economists from Realtor.com and the National Association of REALTORS®.

According to summit materials, the event will focus on providing business leaders with better “inventory intelligence” on how housing costs affect talent recruitment and retention, while also encouraging closer alignment among real estate, infrastructure planning, and economic development strategy.

Arrieta said the region’s future growth will depend on whether leaders can move beyond siloed planning and address housing as a shared economic priority.“Our economic ceiling is only as high as our commitment to solving our housing challenges together,” he said.

With Tucson drawing more national attention than ever, the summit comes at a moment when local leaders are increasingly being asked to decide whether the region will simply absorb growth — or shape it.

Go here for more information and to register: The Power Of Real Estate 2026 | TUCSON ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® INC




Tucson Lease Report: March 16-20, 2026

Tucson Lease Report

TUCSON, AZ (March 23, 2026) — Tucson Lease Report activity this week totaled 137,141 square feet in disclosed space, led by 122,591 square feet of industrial, 12,219 square feet of retail, and 2,331 square feet of office. Industrial once again drove the market, with the largest transaction of the week a 64,303-square-foot industrial renewal by Cactus Portable Storage at Palo Verde Industrial. In retail, Ulta Beauty’s 9,937-square-foot renewal at Oracle Wetmore Shopping Center was the largest reported deal, while RSC2, Inc.’s 1,234-square-foot lease at The Smart Building led the office category. One additional retail renewal, Coffee Times, was reported without a disclosed square footage figure.

The following leases were reported to the Real Estate Daily News for the week of March 16-20, 2026.

NEW LEASES
INDUSTRIAL – 3480 E. BRITANNIA CENTER DR., UNIT 110, TUCSON, AZ 85706, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
Albers Aerospace LLC leased 29,711 square feet of industrial space at Britannia Business Center, 3480 E. Britannia Center Dr., Unit 110 in Tucson, from Britannia Tucson, LLC. Andrew Keim, Industrial Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the tenant. Michael Coretz with Commercial Real Estate Group of Tucson LLC represented the landlord.

INDUSTRIAL – 3450 S. BROADMONT DR., LOT A, TUCSON, AZ 85713, SOUTH SUBMARKET
Presidio Plumbing with Solar Heating, LLC leased a 9,000-square-foot storage lot at 3450 S. Broadmont Dr., Lot A, in Tucson, from Tin Cup Properties, LLC. Paul Hooker, SIOR, Principal, Industrial Specialist, and Jesse Blum and Alex Demeroutis, former Industrial Specialists with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

INDUSTRIAL – 1870 W. PRINCE RD., SUITE 42, TUCSON, AZ 85705, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
4ever Bound LLC leased 1,440 square feet of industrial space at Exchange Place, 1870 W. Prince Rd., Suite 42 in Tucson, from Pegasus Tucson Owner, LLC. Paul Hooker, SIOR, Principal, and Andrew Keim, Industrial Specialists with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

OFFICE – 1661 N. SWAN RD., SUITE 310, TUCSON, AZ 85712, NORTHEAST SUBMARKET
RSC2, Inc. leased 1,234 square feet of office space at The Smart Building, 1661 N. Swan Rd., Suite 310 in Tucson, from DHS Property Investments, Ltd. Partnership. Ryan McGregor, Office Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

RETAIL – 6330 E. GOLF LINKS RD., SUITE 170, TUCSON, AZ 85730, EAST SUBMARKET
My Dr. Now leased 1,200 square feet of retail space at Safeway Plaza, 6330 E. Golf Links Rd., Suite 170 in Tucson, from Oakwood Investments LLC. Natalie Furrier with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR represented the landlord. Gabby Lambright of Leaders Real Estate and Troy Giammarco of NAI Horizon in Phoenix represented the tenant.

OFFICE – 5931 N. ORACLE RD., SUITE 201, TUCSON, AZ 85704, NORTHWEST SUBMARKET
Mendoza for Congress leased 1,097 square feet of office space at 5931 N. Oracle Rd., Suite 201 in Tucson, from San Marcos Plaza, LLC. Ryan McGregor, Office Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord. Kelly Doty with Long Realty Company (River) represented the tenant.

RETAIL – 2960 S. 6TH AVE., SUITE 140, TUCSON, AZ 85713, SOUTH SUBMARKET
Zenith Vape leased 1,082 square feet of retail space at Fiesta Mercado Shopping Center, 2960 S. 6th Ave., Suite 140 in Tucson, from Choi Family Trust. Dave Hammack and Aaron LaPrise, Principals, Retail Specialists with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

RENEWALS
INDUSTRIAL – 6161 S. PALO VERDE RD., SUITE C, TUCSON, AZ 85706, SOUTH SUBMARKET
Cactus Portable Storage, LLC renewed its lease with Stag Industrial Holdings, LLC for 64,303 square feet of industrial space at Palo Verde Industrial, 6161 S. Palo Verde Rd., Suite C in Tucson. Robert C. Glaser, SIOR, CCIM, Principal, Industrial Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord. Aric Adams with Kidder Mathews, Inc. represented the tenant.

INDUSTRIAL – 1861 W. GRANT RD., SUITE 100, TUCSON, AZ 85745, WEST SUBMARKET
Southern Arizona Graphic Associates, Inc. renewed its lease with Walker Tucson Property, LLC for 14,070 square feet of industrial space at 1861 W. Grant Rd., Suite 100 in Tucson. Robert C. Glaser, SIOR, CCIM, Principal, Industrial Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord. Dean Cotlow with Cotlow Company represented the tenant.

RETAIL – 4386 N. ORACLE RD., TUCSON, AZ 85705, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
Ulta Beauty renewed its lease for 9,937 square feet at Oracle Wetmore Shopping Center, 4386 N. Oracle Rd. in Tucson. Aaron LaPrise, Principal, Retail Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord. Neil Board and Noah Anastassatos with Western Retail Advisors, LLC, represented the tenant.

INDUSTRIAL – 1200 E. AJO WAY, SUITES 101-103, TUCSON, AZ 85713, SOUTH SUBMARKET
Portable Practical Educational Preparation, Inc. renewed its lease with FJM Merced Associates, LP for 2,187 square feet of industrial space at Ajo/Evans Business Park, 1200 E. Ajo Way, Suites 101-103 in Tucson. Andrew Keim, Industrial Specialist, and Alex Demeroutis, former Industrial Specialist with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

INDUSTRIAL – 245 S. PLUMER AVE., SUITE 19, TUCSON, AZ 85719, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
Red Violet Art LLC renewed its lease with Pegasus Tucson Owner LLC for 1,200 square feet of industrial space at Commerce Plaza, 245 S. Plumer Ave., Suite 19 in Tucson. Paul Hooker, SIOR, Principal, and Andrew Keim, Industrial Specialists with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

RETAIL – 3401 E. SPEEDWAY BLVD., TUCSON, AZ 85716, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
Coffee Times, LLC renewed its lease with Rallis Enterprises, LLC for the freestanding drive-through building at 3401 E. Speedway Blvd. in Tucson. Natalie Furrier and Greg Furrier with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR represented the landlord. Frank Arrotta with Larsen Baker represented the tenant. Square footage was not disclosed.

INDUSTRIAL – 2430 W. RUTHRAUFF RD., SUITE 130, TUCSON, AZ 85705, CENTRAL SUBMARKET
APRE Instruments, Inc. renewed its lease with Pegasus Tucson Owner LLC for 680 square feet of industrial space at Ruthrauff Commerce Center, 2430 W. Ruthrauff Rd., Suite 130 in Tucson. Paul Hooker, SIOR, Principal, and Andrew Keim, Industrial Specialists with Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, represented the landlord.

Submit sales and leases to [email protected].




Trend Report Insight: Southern Arizona Retail Takes Shape

Trend Report

Tucson, AZ (March 23, 2026) — Trend Report is out: For a long time, people talked about retail in Southern Arizona as if the story were mostly about what we did not have. Not enough national attention. Not enough big-city momentum. Not enough rooftops, density, or velocity compared with Phoenix.

That is too narrow a way to read this market.

What this Trend Report issue makes clear is that retail here is not standing still. It is taking shape in ways that are more local, more practical, and in many cases more durable than outsiders give it credit. Across Tucson, Marana, Oro Valley, and key growth corridors, the story is less about chasing every trend and more about aligning projects with how people actually live, gather, commute, and spend.

You can see that in very different forms throughout this issue. Casino Del Sol—Vahi Taa’am is not just a hospitality project. It is a west-side commercial catalyst. Heritage Park Shoppes in Marana shows what happens when growth-corridor retail moves from concept to commitment, with pads closing to users built around repeat traffic and daily needs. Oro Valley Marketplace is finding new energy through entertainment, dining, recreation, and residential adjacency. Former dollar stores are being repurposed into practical next life uses. Even the Gem Show reminds us that retail demand is not always obvious from the street; sometimes it also shows up in logistics space, older buildings, and adaptive reuse.

That matters because the strongest retail markets today are not simply the ones adding the most square footage. They are the ones creating places people return to. In Southern Arizona, that increasingly means service-based retail, food, entertainment, fitness, neighborhood convenience, and properties that can flex with demand rather than holding out for yesterday’s retail model to reappear.

It also means we should not underestimate the value of reinvestment. Not every success story starts with a shiny ground-up project. Sometimes it starts with an aging box, an overlooked corridor, a practical building, or a center that simply needs the right mix, the right operator, and the right amount of patience. Tucson, especially, has always rewarded people who understand that local knowledge still matters.

Retail is changing everywhere. But in Southern Arizona, the change is taking on a distinctly regional shape. It is rooted in experience, necessity, adaptation, and place. That may not always look flashy. But it is real. And increasingly, it is where the momentum is.

We close with the Retail Pipeline. Knowing what is under construction, what is launching next, and where the next wave of product is coming online helps brokers, lenders, and investors track where growth is headed.

In a market that can feel noisy and uncertain, the takeaway is simple: clarity still creates confidence, and those who pay closest attention to the fundamentals are best positioned to lead.

Thanks to everyone who helped shape this issue and to all who shared their insights. Sincere appreciation as well to our production team — Patti vanLeer, Michael Rossmann, and Jack Paddock — for their consistent support and meticulous attention to detail.

Looking ahead, do not miss our May issue on Industrial Trends. As always, we welcome your feedback and contributions. Visit TrendReportAZ.com and click Connect to get in touch.

Karen Schutte
Managing Editor, TREND Report