New Home Sales Up in August: Will Decline Again with Higher Rates

October 4, 2022 — A brief decline in mortgage rates helped to boost new home sales in August but sales are expected to move lower in the months ahead as rates have since moved higher and builder sentiment continues to fall due to declining housing affordability and ongoing supply chain bottlenecks.

Sales of newly built, single-family homes in August increased 28.8% to a 685,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate from an upwardly revised reading in July, according to newly released data by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. New home sales are down 14% on a year-to-date basis despite the August upturn. Additionally, as sales cancellation rates increase, it is important to keep in mind that the Census data do not incorporate cancellation data. According to recent NAHB surveys, new home sales cancellations were approximately 25% in late August.

The August new home sales data indicate two important factors about the future path of single-family home building. There remains significant, unmet structural demand for housing (that is, a mismatch between the number of potential households and available housing). However, in the short-run the cyclical impacts of higher interest rates are the primary factor determining actualized, market demand for housing. Together, these factors point to ongoing weakness for single-family housing in the coming quarters, followed by a rebound in 2024 as interest rates eventually ease.

New single-family home inventory remained elevated at an 8.1 months’ supply. The count of homes available for sale, 461,000, is up 24.6% over last year. Of this total, only 49,000 of the new home inventory is completed and ready to occupy. The remaining have not started construction or are currently under construction. Inventories of new homes should fall in the months ahead as single-family permitting and construction starts slow.

Reflecting gains for construction costs, the median new home price in August was $436,800, up 8.2% from a year ago. This is a diminished growth rate as a growing number of builders cut prices due to slackening demand. According to survey data collected with the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI, 24% of builders reported reducing home prices in September, up from 19% last month. Importantly, for housing affordability conditions, a year ago 25% of new home sales were priced below $300,000. In August, this share fell to just 12%.

 

Regionally, on a year-to-date basis, new home sales fell in all four regions, down 15.6% in the Northeast, 24.5% in the Midwest, 10.8% in the South and 16.7% in the West.




Brett Thompson joins JLL Phoenix Office as Senior Vice President

Broker expert will focus on landlord representation within premier Valley office sector

PHOENIX, Arizona – The Phoenix office of JLL  announced the addition of Brett Thompson as Senior Vice President. Thompson brings nearly a decade of experience to the full-service real estate firm. He will focus primarily on landlord representation, expanding JLL’s local market presence in this sector.

Thompson was previously a Director for a leading global commercial real estate brokerage firm, where he served local and multi-market accounts in corporate leasing, expansions, relocations, acquisitions and dispositions.

In his new position, Thompson will work primarily with office leasing broker Ryan Timpani, who joined JLL in 2020, focusing on Class A office buildings.

“Brett puts the client experience as priority one and understands that tracking the fundamentals of a market – including the needs of its employees and employers – is the best way to create leasing success,” said JLL Senior Managing Director Pat Williams. “This is a great time to put those skills to work in Phoenix, as part of our JLL team. We’re very pleased to welcome him.”

According JLL research, Phoenix ranks second in the nation for pre- versus post-COVID office leasing activity. The fact that 74% of employees consider their ability to go into the office as fundamental has also supported lease volume.

“As much as the pandemic has shifted how we work, it has also underscored the importance of the physical office as a place to connect and collaborate,” said Thompson. “Phoenix has embraced this with new, high-amenity office environments that are specifically designed to attract and retain employees. JLL takes a highly collaborative approach to matching tenants with these spaces. I’m thrilled to join them.”

Thompson holds a Bachelor’s degree in Management from Arizona State University and is involved with the Urban Land Institute, Young Leaders, Valley Partnership, Phoenix Community Alliance and the Greater Phoenix Economic Council (GPEC).

He will be based out of the JLL Phoenix office, which this fall will expand and relocate into 31,000 square feet at The Grove, a $400 million, Class AA mixed-use destination being developed by RED Development on the northwest corner of 44th Street and Camelback Road, in the heart of the Camelback Corridor. The new space will bring together more than 120 JLL professionals with office, industrial, retail, multifamily, healthcare, data center, capital markets, property management and project development services (PDS) expertise. It is the next stage of the company’s more than 22 years in the Valley, offering the broad resources of the JLL network, one of the nation’s leading real estate services firms.




Arizona Property Technology Company Raises $100 Million to Grow House Flipping App

Stoa Announces Additional $100 Million Raised to Help Real Estate Investors Flip Homes Faster

PHOENIX, ARIZONA – Stoa USA Inc., the Arizona-based company that launched the FlipOS by Stoa platform for professional single-family home investors, has closed another $100 million securitization. The funding is underwritten by Cantor Fitzgerald, a leading financial services firm that specializes in real-estate investments.

This marks the second time that Cantor Fitzgerald has worked with Stoa on this type of fundraising. Stoa’s $100 million securitization in November 2021 was also underwritten by Cantor Fitzgerald.

“The Stoa team looks forward to what’s possible for our real estate partners with this round of funding, and we’re proud to have the continued support of the experienced team at Cantor Fitzgerald,” says Tom Sella, co-founder of Stoa. “It’s been less than a year since our initial $100M securitization, and we’ve seen exponential growth in product adoption since then.”

According to Bankrate.com, housing supply is far below demand levels due to multiple factors, including younger buyers looking for first-time homeownership and under-building after the 2007 recession. FlipOS by Stoa focuses on the fix-and-flip market, where existing properties need upgrades or repairs before they become viable options for people looking for housing.

With the additional securitization, FlipOS by Stoa will be able to work with more professional real estate investors to grow and scale their businesses, helping to close the housing gap in America by providing quality residential inventory to the market faster than homebuilders can.

With the housing market in a state of change, FlipOS by Stoa has gained even more traction, because its unique model allows investors to purchase, renovate, and sell single-family homes faster and with less risk than traditional models.

“It’s a big deal that we were able to close this round of funding amid a fluctuating housing market,” says Or Agassi, co-founder of Stoa. “It speaks volumes about the underlying strength of our business model. We continue to scale rapidly but responsibly, maintaining strong unit economics. We’ve created a business that people want to invest in regardless of macroeconomic conditions.”

Overall, the company has raised around $300 million in equity and debt.

Or Agassi, Co-founder
Or Agassi is the co-founder of Stoa USA, Inc., the parent company of FlipOS, a fast-growing property technology company that has raised more than $300 million to address the increasing housing gap in America. Educated in Israel as a lawyer, Agassi has a winning track record as an entrepreneur. He co-founded and led consumer goods company Agam Innovations to a successful acquisition in 2016, and later co-founded Bam Medical, where he is currently a board director. For 10 years, Agassi was a partner at eNitiatives IP, where he guided dozens of U.S. and Israeli companies in building IP portfolios that drove billions in sales. He is now the executive director of the board. Agassi is also an active investor in more than 30 Israeli and U.S. technology companies and the inventor of over 40 registered patents.

Tom Sella, Co-founder  
Tom Sella is the co-founder of Stoa USA, Inc., the parent company of FlipOS, a fast-growing property technology company that has raised more than $300M to address the housing gap in America. Born and raised in Israel, Sella spent nearly a decade as a senior executive at a Tel Aviv real estate firm specializing in high-end commercial properties. An entrepreneur at heart, he moved to Arizona in 2012 to focus on residential real estate investment. In the following years, his operations rapidly expanded across the United States, completing hundreds of transactions and renovations. In 2018, he teamed up with his childhood friend and co-founder, Or Agassi, to build a technology company that would enable residential investors to work faster and smarter and create more