CBRE’s Prelim. Q4 Reports Major Office and Industrial Markets Continuing to Recover

CBRE-Logo_NEW-080111Los Angeles, CA — Office and industrial vacancy rates continued to decline in most major U.S. markets during Q4 2013, based on preliminary data from CBRE Group, Inc. Nine of the 13 largest markets showed lower office vacancy, and 12 of the 13 markets saw higher average asking rents. The U.S. industrial market also continued to show improvement in Q4 2013, according to CBRE, as eight of the 12 largest industrial markets had lower vacancy, fueled by demand from third party logistic companies, the food service sector, home construction and manufacturing.

“The steady recovery of the U.S. office market continues. As economic activity improves, investors have had an opportunity to increase rents in most markets. The U.S. industrial market offers particular opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on improving international trade and a resilient domestic consumer,” said Brook Scott, CBRE’s Interim Head of Research, Americas.

Office

Demand from technology companies led to a 50 basis point (bps) decline in vacancy rates in both San Francisco and Seattle, which reported 8.7% and 15.2% vacancy rates, respectively. A lack of new construction, combined with more office-using employment, contributed to 50 bps vacancy declines in Phoenix and Atlanta. Average office asking rents increased in 12 of the 13 U.S. metro office markets, and concessions have held steady overall. San Francisco led the country with a 3.0% increase in average asking rents, followed by Boston with a 2.5% increase, as space options diminished in both markets. Houston and Washington, D.C. reported significant deliveries during the quarter, at nearly 0.8 million sq. ft. and 1.5 million sq. ft., respectively.

Q4 2013 Preliminary Office Stats

Market

Q4 2013 Prelim
Vacancy Rate
(%)

Q3 2013 Final Vacancy Rate
(%)

BPS Change

Q4 2013 Prelim Gross Asking Rent ($)

Q3 2013 Final Gross Asking Rent ($)

% Change

Metro
Atlanta

20.9

21.4

-50

20.38

20.30

0.0

Boston

13.0

12.8

20

32.11

31.34

2.5

Chicago

17.4

17.5

-10

26.95

26.90

0.2

Dallas

18.0

18.2

-20

19.85

19.67

0.9

Denver

14.0

14.3

-30

22.10

21.81

1.3

Houston

11.8

12.1

-30

24.62

24.40

0.9

Los Angeles

16.6

16.6

0

31.22

31.22

0.0

Miami

16.6

17.4

-80

30.11

30.21

-0.3

New York

8.3

8.1

20

62.54

61.84

1.1

Phoenix

22.7

23.2

-50

20.53

20.41

0.6

San Francisco

8.7

9.2

-50

54.20

52.64

3.0

Seattle

15.2

15.7

-50

29.85

29.62

0.8

Washington, D.C.

14.5

14.4

10

35.41

35.24

0.5

Downtown
Atlanta

20.1

21.6

-150

22.87

22.83

0.2

Boston

8.4

8.4

0

46.72

45.81

2.0

Chicago

14.5

14.7

-20

33.46

33.26

0.6

Dallas

25.9

26.1

-20

19.92

19.27

3.4

Denver

13.0

12.7

30

29.83

29.41

1.4

Houston

9.2

9.1

10

36.02

35.03

2.8

Los Angeles

19.1

19.0

10

34.68

34.58

0.3

Miami

18.2

19.1

-90

33.35

33.58

-0.7

New York

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Phoenix

23.8

24.1

-30

20.96

20.66

1.5

San Francisco

7.4

8.2

-80

55.45

53.84

3.0

Seattle

14.2

14.4

-20

33.36

33.00

1.1

Washington, D.C.

10.6

10.4

20

52.31

52.25

0.1

Suburban
Atlanta

21.4

21.2

20

19.01

18.87

0.7

Boston

17.2

16.3

90

19.77

19.59

0.9

Cambridge

7.4

6.5

90

47.72

47.66

0.1

Chicago

20.8

20.8

0

21.19

21.06

0.6

Dallas

16.9

17.0

-10

19.82

19.67

0.8

Denver

14.3

14.8

-50

19.90

19.62

1.4

Houston

12.5

13.0

-50

22.03

22.20

-0.8

Los Angeles

16.1

16.1

0

30.48

30.48

0.0

Maryland Suburban

16.5

16.6

-10

26.63

26.65

-0.1

Miami

15.8

16.6

-80

28.11

28.18

-0.2

Phoenix

22.3

22,9

-60

20.39

20.34

0.2

San Francisco

11.1

10.9

20

52.00

51.00

2.0

Seattle

15.8

16.7

-90

27.36

27.15

0.7

Virginia Northern

16.4

16.2

20

31.87

31.87

0.0

Source: CBRE Research, Q4 2013.

Industrial

The U.S. industrial market continued to improve in Q4 2013, with quarter-over-quarter availability* rates decreasing in eight of the 12 markets. The largest availability rate decline was in Dallas, with a 130 bps drop to 10.5%, followed by Atlanta, down 70 bps to 15.4%. Demand in Dallas was mainly from third party logistic companies and e-commerce related companies, and demand in Atlanta was driven by third party logistic companies, automotive suppliers, and housing-related companies.  These market improvements are consistent with recent signs of strengthening industrial production, reflected in higher automotive purchases and overall consumer spending. While industrial new construction activity has been low by historical standards throughout the recovery cycle, the improving fundamentals have sparked new construction activity in most of the major markets. In Houston, 3.4 million sq. ft. of new space was delivered in Q4 2013, and an additional 7.8 million sq. ft. is under construction.

Q4 2013 Preliminary Industrial Stats

Market

Q4 2013 Prelim
Availability Rate
(%)

Q3 2013 Final Availability Rate
(%)

BPS Change

Q4 2013 Prelim Net Asking Rent ($)

Q3 2013 Final Net Asking Rent ($)

% Change

Atlanta

15.4

16.1

-70

3.30

3.36

-1.8

Boston

19.4

19.4

0

6.59

6.56

0.5

Chicago

8.5

8.5

0

4.37

4.36

0.2

Dallas

10.5

11.8

-130

3.93

3.86

1.8

Denver

6.8

6.8

0

6.06

6.05

0.2

Houston

8.2

8.4

-20

6.48

6.48

0.0

Los Angeles

6.4

6.4

0

7.20

7.20

0.0

Miami

7.8

8.1

-30

5.55

5.36

3.5

New Jersey Northern

9.6

9.7

-10

5.87

5.89

-0.3

Phoenix

13.8

14.0

-20

6.52

6.60

-1.2

San Jose

11.9

12.2

-30

13.02

12.83

1.5

Seattle

8.9

9.7

-80

6.70

6.64

0.8

Source: CBRE Research, Q4 2013.

*Availability is space that is actively being marketed and available for tenant build-out within 12 months.